Bitcoin Prediction: $500k by 2026
Bitcoin prediction - Bitcoin reaching $500,000 by 2026. Learn how lost coins & institutional hoarding will drive BTC prices. Bitcoin is undervalued for sure!
BitJim
5/23/20252 min read


Bitcoin at $500,000! The Secret Wall Street Doesn’t Want You to Know!
Our Prediction: $500K in 2026 - Why Lost Coins and Institutional Hoarding Will Blow the Roof Off BTC
What if the Bitcoin price you see today is just the warm-up and the real number is about to shatter every record?
While the world marvels at Bitcoin’s new all-time high of $110,000 (May 2025), the truth is that even today’s record price is just a glimpse of its real potential - Bitcoin is undervalued!
According to leading analysts and market dynamics, (And us) Bitcoin should realistically be trading at $200,000–$250,000 right now, given the massive institutional inflows, ETF demand, and the ongoing supply squeeze.
But this is just the beginning: by 2026, we say Bitcoin’s value is primed to rocket past $500,000!
Why? Mainly because millions of “ghost coins” are lost forever, and financial giants like BlackRock and MicroStrategy are scooping up BTC like there’s no tomorrow - vowing never to sell.
The greatest supply shock in financial history is brewing, and if you’re not paying attention, you’ll miss the biggest wealth transfer of our generation.
5 Million Bitcoin Are Gone Forever – Scarcity on Steroids
Never even heard about ghost coins?
Well, did you know that over 5 million BTC - that’s one in every four Bitcoin ever mined - are lost, forgotten, or locked away for eternity?
Ledger’s research reveals these “ghost coins” will never hit the market:
- Satoshi Nakamoto’s 1.1 million BTC untouched since 2010 - Nairametrics
- Stefan Thomas’s $24B fortune locked in a hard drive - Investopedia
- Millions more lost to forgotten passwords, dead wallets, and tragic mistakes - Chainalysis
And many many more for sure. Every lost Bitcoin makes the remaining supply exponentially more valuable.
River Financial estimates the real maximum supply isn’t 21 million - it’s closer to 15-16 million.
BlackRock, MicroStrategy & ETFs: The $100 Billion Bitcoin Black Hole
Wall Street’s biggest players are swallowing Bitcoin at a record pace - and they’re not letting go:
- MicroStrategy owns 553,555 BTC (worth $61 billion) and vows to never sell - MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor says, "Never sell your Bitcoin."
- BlackRock’s ETF has amassed 573,869 BTC ($63 billion) and keeps buying - BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has become the second-largest holder of Bitcoin
- Total institutional holdings: Over 1.1 million BTC - more than 5% of all Bitcoin.
This isn’t just “HODLing” - It’s a permanent supply shock. ETFs and corporations are locking up coins faster than miners can create them.
The result? Relentless upward pressure on price.
The Math: $500,000 Is Closer Than You Think
Let’s break it down:
- Total Bitcoin mined: 19.87 million
- Lost forever: 5 million
- Institutional vaults: 1.5 million
- Actual circulating supply: 13.37 million BTC
If demand stays the same but supply drops by over a third, the price must skyrocket. Simple math.
But that’s just the floor and VanEck now publicly predict $200,000–$500,000 by 2026.
Cathie Wood of Ark Invest sees $1 million as a real possibility within five years.
And when ETFs are buying 10x more BTC daily than miners produce, the squeeze is only intensifying.
Why $500,000 in 2026 Isn’t Just Hype
- Ghost coins are vanishing from circulation every year
- ETFs and whales are locking up supply for the long haul
- Retail adoption is just getting started - "Crypto Is Still Early" Binance’s CZ
- Top analysts like Tom Lee and Arthur Hayes are calling for $500,000 within this cycle Changelly - Flitpay
Haters will say it’s already priced in. Maybe they’re right - maybe not. The future will decide who gets the last laugh.
/ BitJim, May 22 - 2025
BitJim Blog for more.